Peter Cornell (7-5 record)
Pittsburgh +10 vs Tampa Bay
This number has ballooned to a point that I have to take some action on the Steelers. I think that Pickett has actually made some solid throws and can keep the steelers in this game. I think Tom has finally let Father time catch him. He will not make it the entire season if he is having to throw it 45 times a game. I think the Bucs try and run it more and keep this game low scoring. I find it hard to believe the Bucs can win by double digits on the road, even against the bad steelers. I see this one ending up with Tampa winning 19-11. Take the points with Pittsburgh.
NY Jets +8.5 @ Green Bay
This is a pure play against the Packers. I think they showed what they were all about last week in London. I think having to come back from London and play the next week is a massive disadvantage. I actually have liked what I have seen out of the Jets so far this season. Zach Wilson hasnt been god awful and the rookie Breece Hall seems to be pretty solid. The Joes will be on packers and claim its a pissed off packers team after losing last week. I don't buy it and think the jets keep it within the number with a 22-15 final. Take the J-E-T-S
Seattle Seahawks 1H +.5 @ Arizona Cardinals
The Seahawks have been a surprise so far this year in the NFL. They are playing a lot better than anybody would have expected before the year started. I think Geno Smith has really flourished in this new era of defense mentality that the entire league is going to with the 2 high safety looks. He takes what he is given underneath and its working. I don't like that Penny is not playing but they have a solid backup in Kenneth Walker III. I want to single this game out and just take the 1st Half because the Seahawks have shown they are a much better 1st half team which is opposite of the Cardinals. Cardinals have started slow in just about every game and tend to turn it on after half. I like the Seahawks to lose a close one in the long run but in the short run I like a 10-10 score at half. Give me the Seahawks.
Henry Porter (8-4 record)
Cincinnati Bengals -1 @ New Orleans Saints
The Bengals have sputtered out of the gate to a 2-3 start after their Super Bowl appearance last season. I like this as a get right game for Cincinnati against an up and down New Orleans team. The Saints have been in just about every game this year, so there record could be a lot better or a lot worse. It will likely be Andy Dalton under center for the Saints with spurts of Taysom Hill entered into the game plan. Cincinnati has a massive advantage at QB and just the better team overall. This is probably the worst defense that Joe Burrow will have faced so far, and I expect him to have a 2021-esqe performance in the Superdome. In what is basically a pick em, give me the better team to pull it out in a close one on the road. Bengals win 27-23.
Los Angeles Rams/Carolina Panthers over 41
You might be wondering why a matchup with two teams struggling to score would be a good game to bet the over, but this is one you should. Matthew Stafford and the Rams appear to be suffering from a Super Bowl hangover at the moment. They have scored 19 points in their last two games and are 2-3 on the season. Despite their struggles this season, the Panthers actually have a decent defense. But unfortunately, injuries are forcing some of their better players to be sidelined; which could provide more scoring chances considering this defense just gave up 37 points to Jimmy Garoppolo. Carolina will have PJ Walker under center on Sunday due to the Baker Mayfield injury, but this team should have some newfound energy after firing Matt Rhule. It's not like Baker was lighting up the scoreboard either, so I don't think PJ Walker could do any worse. If PJ can find a way to utilize all of the Panthers offensive weapons, they could score more than expected. Rams win this one and cash the over 30-20.
Dallas Cowboys +6 @ Philadelphia Eagles
One of two things will happen in this game: the Cooper Rush honeymoon will end or the Eagles will come back down to earth. I like the latter as Philadelphia has to be feeling the pressure of being the last undefeated team and having their division rival coming to town on a hot streak. I am not somebody who has participated in the Cooper Rush-Dak Prescott quarterback controversy as I still think Dak is better and gives Dallas the best chance to win in the playoffs; but you can't discount the job Rush has done the last few games. This Dallas defense has been stout and you know how badly they want to be the first team to shut down Jalen Hurts and this Eagles offense. I think the Cowboys force two key turnovers but Philly ultimately pulls it out to continue their undefeated season. Eagles win 21-17.
Roger Murdock (7-5 record)
Miami +3 vs. Minnesota
I think this spread is an overreaction to what happened last week. Miami has proven they are a better team with Tua healthy, and without Tua, I believe these two teams are pretty equal. Minnesota hasn’t covered in 4 straight games, despite winning 3 of those 4. They aren’t playing well enough to justify this spread. I will take the points at home for the Dolphins.
Jacksonville +1.5 @ Indianapolis
Despite an ugly loss to Houston last week, I still like the Jags chances to win the AFC South. I’m not sure Indy should be laying points against anyone in the NFL right now. They have a fluky win against Kansas City and a disgusting 12-9 OT victory that was handed to them by Russell Wilson. This team should be 0-4-1. Not to mention, Jacksonville crushed Indy 24-0 in week 2. Not enough has changed since then to justify this line. Jaguars win this outright, and easily.
Arizona -2.5 @ Seattle
Arizona showed some signs of improvement last week by playing Philly close. Meanwhile, Geno Smith has lead Seattle to a 2-3 record despite having one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Seattle offense has been clicking, and has been quite possibly the best in the league thus far. I’m betting that regression is coming for Geno, and I think this is a good spot for it to start. Arizona will be hungry to get back in the playoff hunt, and I like laying less than a field goal here.
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