Henry Porter (17-19 record in college this year)
A lot is on the line in this day after Thanksgiving affair. The winner of this game secures their bid to the AAC Championship game while the loser has to see how the other games play out. Tulane is having a Cinderella season but I think they have to be running out of some magic. Cincinnati has won 32 straight home games and I don’t see that streak coming to an end with a conference championship bid and potential Cotton Bowl appearance on the line. Home field advantage is coming to be big in this one and I like Cincy to get it done in what I think will be one of the better games of the week. Bearcats win 27-22.
Buffalo -4 vs Kent State
A big factor I am looking for in betting the games this week is motivation. This is the last week of regular season games and the motivation factor will definitely be playing a role. Some teams need a win to reach a bowl game and some won’t be involved in postseason play no matter the result. This matchup is a perfect example of two different sides of the motivation spectrum. Buffalo needs one more win to reach bowl eligibility while Kent State is not getting there even with a win. The Bulls have all the reason to come out at home, on senior day, and get a convincing win over a conference opponent to reach a bowl game. Buffalo wins this one 38-24.
Marshall -6 vs Georgia State
The motivation factor is prevalent in this pick as well. Georgia State has had a disappointing season and will be heading to Huntington, WV with four wins to their name. Marshall has already locked up bowl eligibility but will want to send these seniors out with a win in their final home game. I just don’t see Georgia State having the fight to put up enough points to win this game. Marshall held a very potent Georgia Southern offense to just 10 points last week. I like the Thundering Herd to get the victory, 30-20.
Henry Porter (17-12-1 record in NFL this year)
Commanders/Falcons over 42
I think this total would be higher if it was being played in Atlanta, but there is just something about Fedex Field that screams the under. Nonetheless I am on the over in this one with two teams that have shown the ability to score the football on a consistent basis this year. Washington is one of the hottest teams in the league right now and Atlanta is right there in the NFC South division race. I think Mariota and company get off to a fast start which forces Washington to make this one a back and forth contest. I like the Commanders to continue their hot streak with a 24-23 victory.
Vikings -2.5 vs Patriots
Man the Vikings were bad last week. We figured there would be some regression after their 8-1 start, but that was bad. This is a solid get right spot against the Patriots who mustered three offensive points at home last week. The Patriots are just not very good and we could see a return of Bailey Zappe if Mac Jones can’t get it figured out this week. Minnesota needs to put together a solid performance in front of their home crowd and I think they will do just that. This line is just too low for me, especially when a field goal could be the difference. Vikings get the job done on Thanksgiving, 24-14.
Jets/Bears over 39
This is a stinky one. I don’t have to tell you what the Jets offense looked like last week, but we know it was horrid. The coaching staff should have an extreme focus on putting the ball in the endzone this week. The Jets defense had the Patriots offense on lock last week, but Justin Fields isn’t Mac Jones. This pick really just comes down to a gut feeling for me and both teams feeling some desperation for different reasons. Bears get the much needed victory on the road, 23-20.
Comments