Philadelphia Eagles
Under 9.5 wins +135
I just don’t see 10 wins on this schedule, and I’ll definitely bet the under at this price. Yes the Eagles play in the NFC Least, but someone has to win those inter-division games. Jalen Hurts is receiving more doubt around the league that he can be a sustainable starting QB in the NFL. Washington has improved this offseason and Dallas will be Dallas. I think the Eagles were fortunate to sneak into the playoffs last season and I think some natural regression will occur. I think Philly will have to sweep their season series against Washington and New York to get to that 10 win mark and I just don’t see that happening.
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott to lead NFL in passing yards +1400
The puzzling regression of Ezekiel Elliot has forced the Cowboys to be an aerial attack type team in the last two seasons. Dak finished 7th in the NFL last season in passing yards and I think the stars may align for him to lead the league this year. The Cowboys seem to find themselves in high scoring games and despite a win or loss, throwing for the majority of it. CeeDee Lamb leads the receiving core along with Michael Gallup and Tight End Dalton Shultz. Dallas led the NFL last year in total yards per game and I expect that to continue with OC Kellen Moore leading the charge.
Washington Commanders
Carson Wentz over 23.5 passing touchdowns
Wentz threw for 27 touchdowns last year in Indianapolis with a similar receiving core as he is working with in Washington. Obviously the offensive line and team as a whole isn’t as good, but I think this offense will be putting it up in the air plenty this season. Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson, Curtis Samuel, and Logan Thomas is a receiving core that has some potential. The Commanders just don’t trust Antonio GIbson. If it weren’t for Brian Robinson’s gun shot injuries that will have him out for an unknown period of time, Gibson probably wouldn’t get ten touches a game. I don’t think they will let Gibson get many goal line carries with his fumbling issues, which could lead to more passing touchdowns from Wentz.
New York Giants
Saquon Barkley over 900.5 rushing yards
If Barkley stays healthy, this over is cashing. Obviously that is saying a lot considering his last two seasons, but this number is way too low for a Daniel Jones-led team. The Giants will be counting on Barkley to churn out some yards on the ground, which in turn will hopefully open the passing game up. If Barkley stays healthy, all he has to do is average 53 rushing yards a game to hit this over. If you think Barkley misses a game or two at the most, take this over.
Atlanta Falcons
Kyle Pitts over 4.5 receiving touchdowns -130
Marcus Mariota/Desmond Ridder have to throw to somebody down in Atlanta. The Falcons are obviously in rebuild mode as their awful receiving room shows. I don’t care if he’s double-teamed every play, they are going to be looking at Pitts constantly. Pitts has the obvious red zone attraction and he is good enough to take it to the house from just about any distance. The Falcons will be down a lot which means they will be throwing a lot. This could lead to a few garbage time touchdowns for Pitts which we hope will cash this over.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady under 4550.5 passing yards -120
I am declaring right now that the regression of Tom Brady will begin in 2022. I am fine with being wrong as I would be the millionth person to make that prediction and be wrong. But is throwing for less than 4500 yards even considered regression? Either way, I like the under in this bet. We really don’t know if Brady even wants to be in Tampa, and his buddy Gronk is gone. He definitely has the weapons to do it in Evans, Godwin, and Fournette. It’s just a matter of how the season goes for Tampa. Brady will have a fine season but I don’t see him getting to this number.
Carolina Panthers
Over 6.5 wins -135
The Panthers acquisition of Baker Mayfield has been severely underrated this offseason. Baker played through a shoulder injury last season and his performances left a bad taste in most fans' mouths, but Baker is a leader and is a more than capable starting QB in the NFL. The Panthers season will largely hinge on Christian McCaffrey’s ability to stay off the injury report. DJ Moore, Robbie Anderson, McCaffrey, Laviska Shenault, and Rashard Higgins make up one of the best arsenal of weapons in the NFL. The defense will be a force to be reckoned with as Brian Burns is a budding star along with elite players such as Jeremy Chinn and Shaq Thompson. Looking at the schedule now, I see at least 8 wins for this Panthers squad, if not more.
Minnesota Vikings
Justin Jefferson to lead NFL in receiving yards +800
Jefferson is the betting favorite to lead the league in receiving yards, and for good reason. He is far and away the number one option in Minnesota. We know that Cousins will be looking at him on most every play, sometimes to a fault. Although Jefferson may be double teamed a decent amount, the Vikings have a solid run game with Dalvin Cook to open up some play action to him. Jefferson’s volume along with his ability to be effective in the short and long passing game are the reasons I want to bet the favorite here.
Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers over 6.5 interceptions
Aaron Rodgers' main man Davante Adams is off to Vegas, which leaves Rodgers with limited weapons in the passing game. Allen Lazard, Sammy Watkins, and a near retirement Randall Cobb is who Aaron has to work with in Green Bay. Rodgers hasn’t hit 7 interceptions since 2016 but I’m looking for him to force the ball downfield a little more this year to create some big plays. He doesn’t have Adams or a Jordy Nelson to methodically work his way up the field like he does so often. He is also not a man to shy away from the halftime hail mary bombs which could add one or two to his total.
Detroit Lions
Aidan Hutchinson Defensive Rookie of the Year +450
This is a massive favorite for a year long award but that’s how much I like Hutchinson for the Lions. Defensive Ends or Linebackers are more likely to win this award which leaves Trayvon Walker and Kayvon Thibodeaux as his biggest competitors. Hutchinson will play just about every snap and the Lions will give him as many opportunities as possible to pin his ears back and get to the quarterback. If you’re looking to place a bet on a year long award, I think this is one of your best shots.
Chicago Bears
Justin Fields over 3.5 rushing touchdowns -145
This is a big price to pay but I think it is worth it. Fields is very mobile and I think the Bears will utilize him as a weapon in the red zone. Fields is still developing as an NFL passer and decision maker so they may not want to trust his arm all that much when they are close to the goal line. He also has the speed and shiftiness to break one from 20-30 yards. David Montgomery is a reliable back and will get lots of attention; I wouldn’t doubt that the Bears have some RPO ready to go between Fields and Montgomery.
Los Angeles Rams
Rams to win NFC Championship +475
Plain and simple, I predict the Rams to make the Super Bowl and then lose to either the Bills or Chiefs.
Arizona Cardinals
James Conner over 9.5 touchdowns -110
While I do predict the Cardinals to regress some this year in terms of their record, I think they will still score a lot of points. Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury both want to prove their contract extensions were the right decision and that will start with putting up some points. James Conner had a breakout season last year and he is the no doubt number one back for the Cardinals. Once Arizona gets down to the goal line, I expect them to give Conner a heavy workload. Kyler Murray is a good weapon with his legs but they are probably going to try and limit as many hits as possible. Look for Conner to hit double digit touchdowns this season.
San Francisco 49ers
Trey Lance over 545.5 rushing yards -120
Whether they want to or not, the 49ers are going to use Lance’s running ability in their game plan. Lance is very mobile and has the ability to break one when given the opportunity. Lance is also inexperienced which can lead to him taking off and running rather than staying in the pocket. Some are comparing Lance’s running ability to Cam Newton earlier in his career. Newton eclipsed this mark in each of his first five seasons, look for Lance to do the same in 2022.
Seattle Seahawks
Noah Fant over 580.5 receiving yards -120
The quarterback situation in Seattle will likely be what determines the outcome of this bet. Whoever the answer is between Geno Smith and Drew Lock, they have some decent weapons in Fant, DK Metcalf, and Tyler Lockett. Fant totalled 670 receiving yards catching footballs from Teddy Bridgewater and Drew Lock last year. I think he could receive some extra looks as opposing defenses will be locked in on Metcalf, Lockett, and the Seahawks running backs.
コメント